South Gate travel impossible for public transit and mobility planners

No one has an accurate forecast to determine if this work-from-home phenomenon becomes permanent. Itll take at least another two years for a new normal to emerge. It is safe to say that, to an unknown extent, Bay Area travel patterns will permanently change.

That makes it impossible for public transit and mobility planners to make long-term infrastructure decisions. Theres no certainty of knowing, after the pandemic, when or where large numbers of people will be traveling or what mode of transportation will be preferred. It will take at least four years.

In the North Bay, that pause should include the proposed reconfiguration of downtown San Rafaels Bettini Transportation Center. The extension of SMARTs train tracks north of Windsor to Healdsburg and Cloverdale should also be paused, as well as instituting rail service linking SMART in South Novato with Vallejo and Solano County.

Thats essential if a ballot measure with a two-thirds supermajority is to pass, continuing the one-quarter cent sales tax which funds SMART. If that measure fails, North Bay rail commuting will cease operation after 2029 when the current tax expires. If thats the upshot, expansions to Northern Sonoma County or Vallejo will be a waste of hundreds of millions of dollars.

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